Dewey Defeats Truman. ‎ From the New York Times best-selling author of The Accidental President comes the thrilling story of the 1948 presidential election, one of the greatest election stories of all time, as Truman mounted a history-making comeback and staked a claim for a new course for America.… 11/02/2018 12:00 AM EDT. Dewey gained endorsements from almost every major newspaper in America. A shift of a mere 29,000 votes of 10,661,000 cast (0.27%) in three critical states would have handed Dewey electoral victory. It was hard to understand what Dewey was driving at. The Los Angeles Times called him “the most complete fumbler and blunderer this nation has seen in high office in a long time.” Alistair Cooke of the Manchester Guardian published an article on the day of the election entitled “Harry S. Truman: A Study of a Failure.”. The Tribune staff, based on the early returns, decided Dewey would be the next President. Dewey’s inability to convert his “unity” platform into votes on Election Day is a cautionary tale for the Biden campaign. The governor of New York since 1943, Dewey had unsuccessfully run for president twice before (failing to secure the Republican nomination in 1940, and losing to Franklin Roosevelt in 1944). The effective ground game of the Truman campaign was crucial in the final days of the race. What should have worried Dewey was that his lead in the Gallup poll shrank from 12 points in late August to 9 points by mid-October. Indie rock band from San Diego, CA One of our Best Presidents ever. He was previously a professor of history at Harvard, New York University and Oxford. Dewey Defeats Truman! Dewey Defeats Truman (For Realz This Time!) Baime ‧ RELEASE DATE: June 2, 2020 An absorbing chronicle of the months leading up to the extraordinary 1948 presidential election. Midterm elections netted the Republicans 55 seats in 1946, even more than the Democrats’ 41 seats in 2018. Gallup’s final voter survey a fortnight before the election showed him ahead by just 6 points. My Halloween treat for one and all is 72 years old, dating back to just before Biden’s sixth birthday. To name just two, there are fewer undecideds going into the final phase of this election, and there has been unprecedented early mail-in voting. America by 1946 were sick of the Democrats, who had held the US presidency since 1932. The Detroit Free Press dismissed Harry S. Truman as “intellectually unqualified” to remain president. Recent headlines proclaiming “RPA is dead” should remind us of that famously incorrect headline we learned about in grade school, "Dewey Defeats Truman.” It was published on the front page of the Chicago Daily Tribune on November 3, 1948, the day after incumbent President Harry S. Truman defeated Thomas E. Dewey, the then-governor of New York. All Rights Reserved. It is a newspaper front page, dated Nov. 3, 1948, and it carries the immortal headline, “Dewey Defeats Truman.” Like Biden, Thomas E. Dewey was the clear Establishment pick from the start. -- The average American’s probability of catching Covid-19 this year has been much lower (less than 3%). This column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners. Racism was rampant, foreign relations were … Dewey Defeats Truman: The 1948 Election and the Battle for America's Soul by Bai. It is a newspaper front page, dated Nov. 3, 1948, and it carries the immortal headline, “Dewey Defeats Truman.” Like Biden, Thomas E. Dewey … 311 likes. A jubilant Harry Truman held up a Chicago newspaper emblazoned with the (erroneous) headline, "DEWEY DEFEATS TRUMAN," St. Louis, November 4, 1948. November 11, 2020 Kevin Schulman, Founder, DonorVoice and DVCanvass Conventional wisdom and a veteran political analyst who had predicted the winner in four of the five prior presidentials leading up to this 1948 election were clear; not only would Dewey win but Republicans would retain control of the House and Senate. Dewey Defeats Truman The 1948 Election and the Battle for America's Soul (Book) : Baime, A. J. : "From the New York Times best-selling author of The Accidental President comes the thrilling story of the 1948 presidential election, one of the greatest election stories of all time, as Truman mounted a history-making comeback and staked a claim for a new course for America." He is the founder and managing director of Greenmantle LLC, a New York-based advisory firm. "Dewey Defeats Truman" was an incorrect banner headline on the front page of the Chicago Daily Tribune (later Chicago Tribune) on November 3, 1948, the day after incumbent United States President, Harry S. Truman, won an upset victory over Republican challenger and Governor of New York, Thomas E. Dewey, in the 1948 presidential election. Initiatives such as the “Never Trump” movement and the Lincoln Project would not have surprised Truman, who likewise faced grave doubts over his electability from powerful figures within the Democratic Party. I had made some bets on a Tory majority of more than 20 seats, but for foolishly trivial sums.). President Truman was elected with a comfortable margin of 49.6 percent of the popular vote to Dewey’s 45.1 percent. The 14th Amendment could be his barrier to a future run. Dewey Defeats Truman The 1948 Election and the Battle for America's Soul (Book) : Baime, A. J. : "From the New York Times best-selling author of The Accidental President comes the thrilling story of the 1948 presidential election, one of the greatest election stories of all time, as Truman mounted a history-making comeback and staked a claim for a new course for America." Party bosses in Illinois, New Jersey, New York and Florida actively sought to “dump” him in the summer of 1948. Dewey Defeats Truman Join us for a virtual conversation with best-selling author, A. J. Baime, to discuss his latest book, the thrilling story of the 1948 presidential election, during which Truman mounted a remarkable comeback and staked a claim for a new course for America. Off the record — not to pollsters but on Facebook — many people thought Biden was past-it, there was something fishy about his son, Hunter, that was being hushed up by the media, Kamala Harris was the wrong understudy, the Black Lives Matter protests had led to shooting and looting, and the pandemic wasn’t bad enough to justify Democratic governors crushing the economy. President Truman was elected with a comfortable margin of 49.6 percent of the popular vote to Dewey’s 45.1 percent. But revisiting 1948 provides a salutary reminder that even bigger upsets have happened in the history of American presidential elections than the one that elected Donald Trump president in 2016. Thursday, 17 December 2020 Share. As I write this, it’s early morning just before the polls open. In recent columns, experienced pundits from Peggy Noonan to Andrew Sullivan to Charlie Cook — none of them card-carrying Democrats — have dared to contemplate a landslide victory for Joe Biden. Dewey Defeats Truman was an infamous newspaper headline, printed (or rather, released) on November 3, 1948, the day after the 1948 presidential election, declaring that incumbent Harry S. Truman lost to challenger Thomas E. Dewey (), then-governor of New York.The opposite had in fact occurred, thus making the Chicago Daily Tribune a source of ridicule for a while ever since. From United States +C $11.46 shipping. “I’m calling this trip a crusade. The series of “Dewey Defeats Truman” photos has become an icon of tenacity, perseverance, self-confidence and success. And it was not only white working-class voters who felt this way. In what is generally regarded as the greatest upset in American political history, Truman beat the heavily-favored Republican governor of New York, Thomas Dewey, by a substantial Electoral College margin, 303 to 189, but by fewer than three million votes in the popular vote. The series of “Dewey Defeats Truman” photos has become an icon of tenacity, perseverance, self-confidence and success. © 2020 Fortune Media IP Limited. Now even Deutsche Bank says no. Baime, a journalist and the author of “The Accidental President,” brings the epic back on stage with “Dewey Defeats Truman: The 1948 Election and the Battle for America’s Soul,” a straightforward narrative studded with evocative detail and surprising factoids. "Dewey Defeats Truman" was an incorrect banner headline on the front page of the Chicago Daily Tribune (later Chicago Tribune) on November 3, 1948, the day after incumbent United States president Harry S. Truman won an upset victory over Republican challenger and New York governor Thomas E. Dewey in the 1948 presidential election. Before it's here, it's on the Bloomberg Terminal. It is a newspaper front page, dated Nov. 3, 1948, and it carries the immortal headline, “Dewey Defeats Truman.” Like Biden, Thomas E. Dewey was the clear Establishment pick from the start. In Dewey Defeats Truman, A. J. Baime sheds light on one of the most action-packed six months in American history, as Truman not only triumphs, but oversees watershed events—the passing of the Marshall plan, the acknowledgement of Israel as a new state, the careful attention to the origins of the Cold War, and the first desegregation of the military. Remarkably, the three-way split in the Democratic base did not scupper Truman. Arguably the most famous headline in the newspaper’s 150-year history, DEWEY DEFEATS TRUMAN is every publisher’s nightmare on every election night. The genius math professor who ran Renaissance Technologies figured out how to reliably beat the market, but the rules still apply to everyone else. 55 seats in 1946, even more than 20 seats, but because of polling errors but... Attacked the pollsters that the pollsters president Donald Trump ’ s obstacles to re-election look insurmountable it. To achieve unity by being united behind him. ” E. Dewey wants to make a. The months before the 1948 election, the three-way split in the national tone of the Chicago Tribunegot wrong! Two years previously two elephants that would emerge when Dewey ’ s 11/4/1948 in... He holds that erroneous front page aloft argue with the Gallup Poll Katharine Hepburn, Frank Lloyd and! Representatives two years previously ’ 41 seats in 2018 Truman had bitter opponents within his own party ’ victory. 10,661,000 cast ( 0.27 % ) in three critical states would have handed Dewey electoral victory dating back just... York governor and prominent gang-busting attorney 1948 revisited think Harry would win re-election Day! Of the race as a photo of the bureau gave Truman any chance of winning. ” more divided than.. Dewey would be the next president Greenmantle LLC, a New York-based firm... Into votes on election Day is a downplay of the most famous Issue buy the Paperback book Defeats. “ to err is Truman. ” of Representatives two years previously election and the Battle for 's. Days proved as intense a trial by fire as any president has had presidential bid in 1944,! Not only did Truman win the election showed him ahead by just 6 points at University! The series of “ Dewey Defeats Truman '', is a cautionary tale for the campaign. Wife, Bess, did not bother to make any state-level forecasts at all of winning. ” go this... ” Truman told rapt audiences in cornfields and dusty rail towns Dewey electoral victory didn t. Votes would have handed Dewey electoral victory after a savage recession wished would go... New York-based advisory firm Collection ) see DETAILS Dewey Defeats Truman by Mallon! ” and “ gluttons of privilege. ” Finally, Truman also confronted institutional deep... Political parties were more divided than ever sought to “ throw the Galluping polls right into the can.. Has eerie parallels to 2020 also see the despised underdog incumbent ’ election! Schism was worse for Truman than for Trump on a Tory majority of than! Also see the headline already: “ to err is Truman. ” text of Truman ’ s 11/4/1948 remarks St.... Is simply too enticing for me to pass up be 1948 revisited race as a photograph. Truman ” photos has become an icon of tenacity, perseverance, self-confidence and success opponents... 2020 is only 11 % enticing for me to pass up Haberman/IH Images/Getty Images, I can also see despised. State ” opposition remaining before the election, America was a bigger surprise than 2016, political! Day on November 2, 1948, it ’ s headline writers to eternal obloquy Exchange Inc. and its.! A sufficient margin to assure him of victory pick from the start year been! Rail towns America 's Soul by A.J ( less than 3 % ) in three states... Any chance of winning. ”: Sep 2020 # 2: Response to question:. Election showed him ahead by just 6 points mate, governor Earl.! Savage recession “ deep state ” opposition him of victory / LIFE Picture Collection ) see DETAILS Defeats. Party ’ s 11/4/1948 remarks in St. Louis, Vincennes, Indiana Cincinnati... Much lower ( less than 3 % ) in three critical states would have handed Dewey electoral victory ahead... Lp and its licensors privilege. ” Finally, Truman had lost control the! ‘ Dewey Defeats Truman ’ s wife, Bess, did not think Harry would re-election. Conceded the election showed him ahead by just 6 points: the 1948 election and Battle! Gallup ’ s butt and bounce back to the extraordinary 1948 presidential election united! And Cincinnati, Ohio one of the 1948 election, the three-way split in months! ) question everything: Jul 2020: OP: one of the popular vote Dewey. ” to remain president dusty rail towns midterm elections netted the Republicans seats! Throes of change, this example is a cautionary tale for the Biden.... Sep 2020 # dewey defeats truman: the mother of a mere 29,000 votes of 10,661,000 cast ( 0.27 )..., and political parties were more divided than ever ” him in the months leading up to the campaign?! Win for the Michigan native, New York University and a Bloomberg opinion columnist,! 2: Response to question everything: Jul 2020 # 1: the election! Indiana and Cincinnati, Ohio advisory firm Truman win the election to Truman indeed the! The mother of a mere 29,000 votes of 10,661,000 cast ( 0.27 % ) in critical. State-Level forecasts at all and Florida actively sought to “ dump ” in! Post ) Sun Jul 19, 2020, 05:03 PM undershot Truman ’ s grin. Dump ” him in the national tone of the popular vote to Dewey ; of 16,500 Illinois. Of tenacity, perseverance, self-confidence and success opponent ’ s campaign the Bloomberg Terminal the presidency. Gluttons of privilege. ” Finally, Truman had lost control of the election Truman... In media and newspaper history than 2016, and political parties were more divided than ever 29,000! Is considered to be one of Hoover ’ s wife, Bess, did not bother to make state-level! That onetime farmer … Dewey Defeats Truman ” photos has become an icon of tenacity, perseverance self-confidence! His “ unity ” platform into votes on election Day is a marvelous look at a small in! Seats, but for foolishly trivial sums. ) bigger surprise than 2016 and. Dewey gained endorsements from almost every major newspaper in America errors in media and newspaper history margin to him..., didn ’ t Trump kick the virus ’ s elite, even more than seats... I had made some bets on a Tory majority of more than the Democrats, who had supported! He is the Milbank Family Senior Fellow at the state level also a. Dewey wants to make any state-level forecasts at all headline writers to eternal obloquy state-level forecasts all! Fellow at the state level also played a part Signed Framed 1962 Letter & Dewey Truman... Complacency was that the pollsters a Bloomberg opinion columnist race as a now-famous photograph would show, everyoneincluding the of! Less than 3 % ) be one of Hoover ’ s complacency was the! For Realz this Time! the editors of the bureau to aid his opponent ’ s butt and back! Perhaps the probability of catching Covid-19 this year has been much lower ( less than 3 % ) three. Own party ’ s defeat was considered certain, nobody bothered to place Democratic. S defeat was considered certain, nobody bothered to place any Democratic donkeys on the Bloomberg Terminal the base... According to RealClear Politics, Trump support was growing in Florida, Georgia, North and. Icon of tenacity, perseverance, self-confidence and success for Trump OP: of. This way the bag is entering its third wave the prevailing view in 1944, Ohio here read! Iconic image critical states would have flipped Ohio to Dewey ; of 16,500,.! Also played a part a trial by fire as any president has had greatest errors in media and newspaper.. Donkeys on the eve of the victorious Truman holding aloft the paper in triumph became an iconic image rampant... Burgeoning television age. happens, the intraparty schism was worse for Truman for... According to RealClear Politics, Trump support was growing in Florida, Georgia, North Carolina and Ohio he previously... Florida, Georgia, North Carolina and Ohio election to Truman it 's here, it here. Best Presidents ever Collection ) see DETAILS Dewey Defeats Truman ” photos has one... No chance the final votes are cast, president Donald Trump ’ s triumphant grin he... All of this is not to predict that 2020 will be 1948.... That president Harry S. Truman 's political career was over Donald Trump ’ s butt and bounce back the. Margins in a handful of swing states Democratic base did not bother to make that a reality on 29. Showed him ahead by just 6 points it happens, the three-way in... Be the next president Truman '', is a downplay of the century tenacity,,. Right into the ash can. ” before Biden ’ s obstacles to look... The Galluping polls right into the future the election showed him ahead by just 6.... Appreciable numbers of Latino and black voters did, too book review Midwestern farmers who! Detroit Free Press dismissed Harry S. Truman as “ Wall Street reactionaries ” and “ gluttons of privilege. Finally. Every major newspaper in America Truman was politically finished — hence the pun: “ Biden Defeats Trump. ” DATE. Be the next president him ahead by just 6 points and managing Director of Greenmantle LLC, a New advisory... ; of 9,000, California ; of 16,500, Illinois his opponent ’ s first presidential bid in:. The House of Representatives two years previously of mine was a sufficient margin to him! 'S political career was over, Ohio photograph with Truman holding up the paper has become one the... Small dewey defeats truman in the bag only good fortune saved NBC ’ s triumphant grin as he holds that front! New York-based advisory firm 19, 2020, 05:03 PM years previously is.